Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 15.161362 17.703226 20.472380 23.704403 27.363890 31.369422 36.075813
2025-03-02 10.641343 14.047950 18.147977 23.402307 29.908877 37.650425 47.501629
2025-03-09 8.025975 11.715255 16.526100 23.159215 31.952540 43.082986 58.089735
2025-03-16 5.898849 9.437454 14.396638 21.687918 31.936456 45.602633 64.930484
2025-03-23 5.012392 8.653513 14.066521 22.446141 34.780380 51.905387 77.025905
2025-03-30 4.399126 8.133929 13.985692 23.462868 37.978568 58.836562 90.387364
2025-04-06 3.590182 7.131913 12.990884 22.925828 38.761971 62.305017 99.006267
2025-04-13 2.841392 6.075661 11.728842 21.764405 38.401003 63.965424 104.989056
2025-04-20 2.602903 5.893551 11.893967 22.922534 41.750271 71.399046 119.999959
2025-04-27 2.441151 5.825232 12.237975 24.397977 45.706555 79.994484 137.256801
2025-05-04 2.166131 5.474872 12.011982 24.829700 47.922505 85.936412 150.670975
2025-05-11 1.868789 5.017304 11.513530 24.696477 49.126376 90.274008 161.725979
2025-05-18 1.571465 4.519071 10.904791 24.367676 50.101050 94.539836 173.352401
2025-05-25 1.324787 4.087648 10.376182 24.149408 51.293583 99.327966 186.281746
2025-06-01 1.117158 3.700332 9.875836 23.917002 52.422610 104.065246 199.398844
2025-06-08 0.863977 3.118077 8.831956 22.407513 50.934318 104.031509 204.266724
2025-06-15 0.783712 3.002341 8.857051 23.187798 54.005247 112.405978 224.293004
2025-06-22 0.725651 2.938251 8.996708 24.233260 57.688234 122.116101 247.185975
2025-06-29 0.602560 2.630724 8.466649 23.681150 58.016408 125.545891 258.900279
2025-07-06 0.475849 2.265036 7.710223 22.486914 56.857908 126.031712 265.198671
2025-07-13 0.450067 2.254100 7.926292 23.677769 60.952446 136.953082 291.463782
2025-07-20 0.435578 2.282597 8.259299 25.194560 65.875540 149.762047 321.853163
2025-07-27 0.390452 2.174993 8.175471 25.638311 68.421554 157.954949 343.808287